See who is leaving next

Predict employee attrition 6 months ahead.

Kynoa's attrition prediction software flags the employees and teams most likely to resign in the next 6 months, with the reasons behind each flag, so managers can improve employee retention before the resignation email.

Engineering: retention by joining cohortForecast
Jan 24Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Nov 24M1M3M6M9M12M18M24M36 95 88 76 62 55 48 42 38 92 80 68 58 50 44 38 32 97 92 85 78 72 68 65 60 90 75 60 48 38 30 25 20 94 86 74 65 58 52 48 45
% of each cohort still employed, by month since joiningIllustrative data

What is employee attrition prediction?

Employee attrition prediction uses HR and labour-market data to estimate which employees are likely to resign in a coming period, and why. Instead of reporting last quarter's attrition rate, it gives HR and managers a ranked list of flight risks and their drivers, such as pay below market or a recent manager change, while there is still time to act.

How to calculate attrition rateAttrition cost calculator

AUC-ROC on held-out data
0.947
Average warning before exit
6.2 mo
Signals per employee
47
False positive rate
5.3%

Kynoa internal validation on held-out data. Methodology available on request.

What you get

Three views of attrition risk

Individual flight-risk scores for HR business partners, alerts for managers, and team attrition forecasts for leadership.

Individual risk scores

A flight-risk score for each employee, built from 47 signals such as pay versus market, tenure, manager changes and demand for their skills.

Top drivers, platform team

Pay vs market92
Manager tenure78
Time since promotion71
Peers who left65

Early-warning alerts

Alerts when a pattern changes: a pay band slipping below market, a cluster of senior exits, or a sudden drop in hiring.

Recent alerts

Team lead pay 15% below medianHigh
3 senior exits in Data (2 weeks)Watch
Product hiring down 40% MoMWatch

Team forecasts

Expected voluntary exits per department with confidence ranges, so hiring budgets match reality.

Risk index by department

Sales 85Engineering 78Product 62Operations 55Marketing 45HR 30

Rollout

Live in weeks, not quarters

Kynoa connects to the HR systems you already use. No manual uploads, no replacement of existing tools.

  1. Step 1

    Connect

    Secure connectors for SAP SuccessFactors, Workday, Darwinbox, greytHR and custom HRIS. Data is encrypted in transit and at rest.

  2. Step 2

    Calibrate

    Models adjust to your industry, size, locations and history during a two-week calibration period.

  3. Step 3

    Predict

    Every employee is re-scored daily, with a confidence range on each score.

  4. Step 4

    Act

    Alerts reach HR business partners and managers, with suggested retention actions and outcome tracking.

Predicted vs actual attritionBack-test
12% 18% 25%Q1 24Q2Q3Q4Q1 25
PredictedActual
Quarterly voluntary attrition, back-tested on historical dataIllustrative data

Accuracy you can check

Attrition forecasts you can check against reality

Exit interviews and your attrition rate explain the past. Kynoa gives you a forecast you can test against what actually happens, quarter by quarter.

Average warning before an exit
6.2 months
False positive rate
5.3%

The cost of not knowing

What attrition costs a 1,000-person company

Replacing an employee typically costs between half and twice their annual salary. Here is the conservative end of that range.

Voluntary exits a year
187

At 18.7% attrition, Bangalore tech average

Replacement cost a year
₹17.3Cr

At 0.5× an average CTC of ₹18.5L

Saved by keeping 1 in 5
₹3.5Cr

If early warning lets you retain 20% of leavers

Worked example using the same cost model as our CFO simulator. Not a customer result. Run your own numbers in the free attrition cost calculator.

For technical evaluators

How the attrition prediction model works

Every prediction comes with the reasons behind it and a confidence range, so HR and auditors can check it. Full details are in our methodology.

Ensemble architecture

Gradient-boosted trees (XGBoost) for structured features, an LSTM for patterns over time, and attention over peer networks. Retrained daily.

Explainable scores

SHAP attribution on every individual score, so a manager sees why someone is flagged, not just that they are.

Bias monitoring

Fairness checks across gender, age, tenure and department, with a monthly disparate-impact report.

Cold start

Transfer learning from cross-industry baselines gives usable scores within two weeks, even with limited history.

Model performanceProduction
AUC-ROC
0.947
Precision at top 10%
0.891
Recall at top 10%
0.823
F1 score
0.856
4.2M training samples · Kynoa internal validation on held-out data. Methodology available on request.

47 signals per employee

  • Pay gap to market
  • Tenure and promotion timing
  • Manager changes
  • Exits among close peers
  • Demand for their skills
  • Performance trend

Ready for enterprise IT and legal review

Security controls

AES-256 at rest, TLS 1.3 in transit, role-based access. SOC 2 Type II controls in place; audit report not yet issued.

Designed for the DPDP Act

Consent, purpose limitation and erasure built in. Personal data stays in India on AWS Mumbai (ap-south-1).

HRIS connectors

SAP SuccessFactors, Workday, Darwinbox, greytHR, Keka and BambooHR, plus a REST API.

SSO & provisioning

SAML 2.0 and OIDC single sign-on, SCIM 2.0 provisioning. Works with Okta, Azure AD and Google Workspace.

BI export

Connectors for Tableau, Power BI and Looker, scheduled reports and embeddable dashboards.

Data governance

Field-level encryption for personal data, retention policies and a full access audit trail.

Built for everyone who owns employee retention

CHRO / CPO

Board-ready workforce reporting

  • Attrition forecasts by business unit, location and job family
  • Retention benchmarks against industry peers
  • ROI tracking for each retention programme
  • What-if: "What if we raise Engineering pay by 8%?"

HR business partners

Retention playbooks

  • A daily, ranked list of who to talk to
  • Manager effectiveness linked to team attrition
  • Prompts for stay interviews with high-risk people
  • Outcome tracking for every intervention

Compensation & benefits

Pay decisions before offers arrive

  • Spot pay-driven flight risk early
  • Equity refresh suggestions as the market moves
  • Total rewards gaps by role, level and city
  • Attrition impact of proposed pay changes

Finance / FP&A

Predictable workforce cost

  • Attrition-adjusted headcount projections
  • Replacement cost by role complexity
  • Hiring capacity matched to expected exits
  • Quarterly variance: predicted vs actual

Frequently asked questions

How long does deployment take?

With a standard HRIS (SAP SuccessFactors, Workday, Darwinbox), typically two to three weeks. Custom integrations take four to six weeks. Our team handles the setup.

What data do you need?

At minimum: demographics, tenure, compensation and reporting lines. Performance ratings, promotion history and internal moves improve accuracy. All data is encrypted in transit and at rest.

How do you handle privacy for Indian enterprises?

Kynoa is designed for the DPDP Act 2023. Personal data is stored in India on AWS Mumbai (ap-south-1). We support data classification and erasure, and sign a data processing agreement with every customer.

Can the model be tuned to our industry?

Yes. Models start from cross-industry baselines and are fine-tuned on your own patterns. Most organisations see stable accuracy within four to six weeks.

How is it priced?

Per employee per month, with volume pricing above 5,000 employees. Book a call and we will quote for your size and integrations.

Design partner programme

Shape Kynoa with us

We're onboarding a small group of Indian enterprises as design partners. You get early access and direct input into the roadmap. We get feedback grounded in real retention decisions.

  • Early access to new modules as they ship
  • Regular working sessions with the product team
  • A direct say in what we build next
Apply as a design partner (opens in a new tab)

See attrition before it happens

A walkthrough of flight-risk scores for your industry and company size. No commitment.

See Kynoa on your own data Book a demo (opens in a new tab)